Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.197193 0.234076 0.275426 0.325140 0.383214 0.448830 0.528511
2025-05-25 0.134772 0.179596 0.235410 0.309710 0.405692 0.525138 0.684657
2025-06-01 0.106683 0.155006 0.220052 0.313372 0.443070 0.616077 0.863311
2025-06-08 0.083772 0.130984 0.198855 0.302522 0.455612 0.671829 0.998381
2025-06-15 0.071821 0.119622 0.192321 0.309443 0.491497 0.761243 1.187874
2025-06-22 0.061421 0.108393 0.183595 0.310746 0.517724 0.837838 1.365363
2025-06-29 0.052062 0.097006 0.172503 0.306018 0.532833 0.897738 1.522122
2025-07-06 0.044574 0.087411 0.162681 0.301492 0.546822 0.956147 1.681162
2025-07-13 0.040889 0.083963 0.162768 0.313640 0.589831 1.065722 1.934708
2025-07-20 0.039075 0.083692 0.168381 0.336123 0.653115 1.215375 2.270516
2025-07-27 0.036385 0.081223 0.169455 0.350101 0.702184 1.344446 2.581905
2025-08-03 0.032369 0.075359 0.163102 0.348850 0.722281 1.422871 2.808671
2025-08-10 0.027543 0.067211 0.151533 0.336786 0.722202 1.467959 2.986268
2025-08-17 0.023044 0.059004 0.138674 0.320416 0.711838 1.493096 3.130320
2025-08-24 0.020786 0.055568 0.135534 0.324161 0.743053 1.602370 3.449545
2025-08-31 0.017809 0.049803 0.126253 0.312956 0.740916 1.643945 3.636392
2025-09-07 0.016393 0.047712 0.125141 0.320101 0.779556 1.773215 4.015995
2025-09-14 0.014809 0.044873 0.121783 0.321446 0.805182 1.877262 4.352130
2025-09-21 0.013103 0.041360 0.116198 0.316565 0.815695 1.949348 4.625899
2025-09-28 0.011624 0.038199 0.111006 0.311892 0.826026 2.021832 4.907180
2025-10-05 0.011041 0.037574 0.112435 0.324434 0.879795 2.198122 5.438932
2025-10-12 0.010903 0.038292 0.117640 0.347643 0.962833 2.449984 6.166885
2025-10-19 0.010425 0.037845 0.119512 0.362071 1.025055 2.658305 6.811079